Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX few clouds 91 10
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 85 10
Houston, TX clear sky 91 10
Kansas City, MO clear sky 86 10
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 100 10
St. Louis, MO clear sky 85 10
Jupiter, FL heavy intensity rain 84 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 72 8
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 74 8
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 84 8
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 81 8
Denver, CO broken clouds 72 8
Dyersville, IA clear sky 84 8
Los Angeles, CA broken clouds 69 8
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 78 8
Oakland, CA few clouds 65 8
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 79 8
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 70 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 62 8
West Palm Beach, FL heavy intensity rain 84 8
Miami, FL broken clouds 89 7
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 82 7
Mexico City, México broken clouds 86 6
Cleveland, OH clear sky 70 6
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 66 6
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 64 5
Detroit, MI clear sky 75 5
Philadelphia, PA moderate rain 64 5
Tampa Bay, FL broken clouds 87 5
Toronto, ON few clouds 67 5
Washington, DC light rain 63 5
Boston, MA overcast clouds 55 3
Bronx, NY light rain 63 3
Queens, NY light rain 62 3
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 52 3
Data last updated: 1716072965
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