Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 94 10
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 78 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 83 8
Chicago (NL), IL few clouds 76 8
Houston, TX clear sky 82 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 77 8
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 78 8
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 56 7
St. Louis, MO clear sky 74 7
Anaheim, CA clear sky 63 6
Chicago (AL), IL clear sky 75 6
Denver, CO overcast clouds 65 6
Dyersville, IA clear sky 77 6
Atlanta, GA scattered clouds 66 5
Cincinnati, OH clear sky 67 5
Los Angeles, CA few clouds 63 5
Miami, FL few clouds 85 5
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 68 5
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 62 4
Cleveland, OH clear sky 62 4
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 70 4
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 56 4
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 61 4
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 65 4
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 82 4
Washington, DC broken clouds 61 4
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 63 4
Boston, MA light rain 54 3
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 60 3
Detroit, MI clear sky 64 3
Queens, NY overcast clouds 60 3
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 62 3
Toronto, ON clear sky 60 3
Mexico City, México moderate rain 75 2
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 50 1
Data last updated: 1716087367
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