Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions can change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple way to see the if weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The Home Run Forecast Index demonstrates a strong correlation with the number of HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand HRFI forecast data by team and for each game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 85 10
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 85 10
Houston, TX broken clouds 88 10
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 94 10
Tampa, FL scattered clouds 89 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 72 8
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 71 8
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 85 8
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 78 8
Cleveland, OH clear sky 78 8
Detroit, MI overcast clouds 83 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 77 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 70 8
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 84 8
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 73 8
Pittsburgh, PA heavy intensity rain 77 8
San Diego, CA clear sky 71 8
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 81 8
Toronto, ON broken clouds 72 8
Washington, DC overcast clouds 73 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 81 7
Miami, FL broken clouds 89 7
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 71 7
Boston, MA broken clouds 67 6
Queens, NY overcast clouds 65 6
Sacramento, CA clear sky 67 5
San Francisco, CA few clouds 59 5
Seattle, WA broken clouds 58 5
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 65 4
Denver, CO overcast clouds 64 4
Data last updated: 1750175766
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