Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Jupiter, FL clear sky 84 8
Anaheim, CA clear sky 71 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 84 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 74 8
Boston, MA broken clouds 70 8
Houston, TX clear sky 88 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 69 8
Philadelphia, PA light rain 65 8
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 97 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 61 8
Washington, DC overcast clouds 63 8
West Palm Beach, FL clear sky 84 8
Oakland, CA few clouds 65 7
San Diego, CA broken clouds 66 6
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 60 6
Bronx, NY light rain 66 5
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 65 5
Detroit, MI scattered clouds 64 5
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 67 5
Queens, NY light rain 65 5
Seattle, WA few clouds 70 5
Tampa Bay, FL few clouds 83 5
Mexico City, México scattered clouds 84 4
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 56 4
Cleveland, OH overcast clouds 67 4
Kansas City, MO broken clouds 70 4
Toronto, ON broken clouds 63 4
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 64 3
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 55 3
Denver, CO broken clouds 70 3
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 63 3
Miami, FL scattered clouds 84 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 54 3
Minneapolis, MN clear sky 70 3
St. Louis, MO light rain 69 3
Data last updated: 1715730965
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