Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 87 10
Houston, TX clear sky 88 10
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 93 10
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 94 10
Jupiter, FL broken clouds 94 9
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 67 8
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 84 8
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 81 8
Cincinnati, OH few clouds 80 8
Dyersville, IA clear sky 84 8
Kansas City, MO clear sky 83 8
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 80 8
Pittsburgh, PA broken clouds 78 8
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 60 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 83 8
Atlanta, GA overcast clouds 76 7
Detroit, MI scattered clouds 75 7
Los Angeles, CA broken clouds 64 7
Milwaukee, WI scattered clouds 83 7
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 70 7
Mexico City, México clear sky 82 6
Miami, FL scattered clouds 93 6
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 89 6
Toronto, ON overcast clouds 66 6
Bronx, NY scattered clouds 69 5
Oakland, CA broken clouds 63 5
Queens, NY overcast clouds 68 5
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 65 5
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 65 4
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 73 4
Denver, CO overcast clouds 71 4
Philadelphia, PA moderate rain 64 4
Washington, DC moderate rain 63 4
Boston, MA overcast clouds 57 3
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 52 3
Data last updated: 1716058565
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