Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Jupiter, FL scattered clouds 89 10
Miami, FL broken clouds 90 10
Phoenix, AZ scattered clouds 94 10
West Palm Beach, FL scattered clouds 89 10
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 67 8
Atlanta, GA few clouds 82 8
Baltimore, MD broken clouds 75 8
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 72 8
Cincinnati, OH broken clouds 77 8
Dyersville, IA broken clouds 75 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 80 8
Los Angeles, CA broken clouds 67 8
Minneapolis, MN scattered clouds 69 8
Pittsburgh, PA few clouds 76 8
San Diego, CA scattered clouds 69 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 63 8
Seattle, WA broken clouds 63 8
St. Louis, MO light rain 73 8
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 72 7
Oakland, CA few clouds 67 7
Arlington, TX broken clouds 67 6
Kansas City, MO scattered clouds 75 6
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 71 5
Milwaukee, WI broken clouds 67 5
Toronto, ON clear sky 67 5
Washington, DC broken clouds 76 5
Williamsport, PA scattered clouds 71 5
Denver, CO scattered clouds 75 4
Detroit, MI clear sky 72 4
Tampa Bay, FL few clouds 84 4
Mexico City, México clear sky 82 3
Boston, MA broken clouds 60 3
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 63 3
Philadelphia, PA broken clouds 66 3
Queens, NY overcast clouds 63 3
Data last updated: 1715900165
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