Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Jupiter, FL broken clouds 90 10
Miami, FL broken clouds 92 10
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 90 10
Atlanta, GA few clouds 77 8
Baltimore, MD scattered clouds 74 8
Chicago (NL), IL broken clouds 71 8
Cincinnati, OH few clouds 76 8
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 70 8
Houston, TX overcast clouds 83 8
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 59 8
St. Louis, MO overcast clouds 66 8
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 63 7
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 78 7
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 73 7
Toronto, ON clear sky 67 7
Mexico City, México few clouds 82 6
Arlington, TX heavy intensity rain 69 6
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 68 6
Chicago (AL), IL broken clouds 74 5
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 70 5
Detroit, MI clear sky 72 5
Los Angeles, CA overcast clouds 61 5
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 63 5
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 58 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 85 5
Denver, CO few clouds 67 4
Oakland, CA broken clouds 61 4
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 53 4
Washington, DC broken clouds 76 4
Williamsport, PA scattered clouds 73 4
Boston, MA moderate rain 58 3
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 63 3
Milwaukee, WI broken clouds 71 3
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 65 3
Queens, NY overcast clouds 63 3
Data last updated: 1715878565
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Give your audience a quick way to understand how weather will affect hitting distance. Enhance your game previews, picks and analysis with hourly forecasts up to two days out. When it comes to fantasy baseball or the sportsbook every edge counts.

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