Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Phoenix, AZ broken clouds 89 9
Jupiter, FL overcast clouds 80 8
Arlington, TX clear sky 80 8
Atlanta, GA clear sky 69 8
Houston, TX few clouds 80 8
Miami, FL overcast clouds 85 8
West Palm Beach, FL broken clouds 81 8
Baltimore, MD scattered clouds 59 7
San Francisco, CA scattered clouds 58 7
Detroit, MI clear sky 60 6
Anaheim, CA broken clouds 62 5
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 65 5
Los Angeles, CA few clouds 62 5
Tampa Bay, FL clear sky 78 5
Kansas City, MO overcast clouds 66 4
Oakland, CA scattered clouds 59 4
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 64 4
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 60 4
St. Louis, MO clear sky 66 4
Toronto, ON clear sky 59 4
Williamsport, PA overcast clouds 60 4
Boston, MA moderate rain 60 3
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 60 3
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 55 3
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 54 3
Cleveland, OH clear sky 59 3
Denver, CO moderate rain 53 3
Dyersville, IA overcast clouds 63 3
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 53 3
Minneapolis, MN moderate rain 63 3
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 60 3
Queens, NY overcast clouds 59 3
Seattle, WA clear sky 67 3
Washington, DC overcast clouds 61 3
Mexico City, México overcast clouds 68 1
Data last updated: 1715828166
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