Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TX clear sky 72 8
Chicago (NL), IL scattered clouds 69 8
Cincinnati, OH overcast clouds 73 8
Cleveland, OH broken clouds 70 8
Houston, TX broken clouds 76 8
Minneapolis, MN broken clouds 69 8
Phoenix, AZ few clouds 86 8
St. Louis, MO broken clouds 72 8
Tampa, FL broken clouds 80 8
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 74 7
Kansas City, MO clear sky 71 7
Anaheim, CA overcast clouds 62 6
Chicago (AL), IL scattered clouds 70 5
Detroit, MI scattered clouds 67 5
Miami, FL clear sky 85 5
Milwaukee, WI overcast clouds 68 5
Pittsburgh, PA overcast clouds 68 5
Sacramento, CA clear sky 56 4
Denver, CO few clouds 66 4
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 63 4
Queens, NY overcast clouds 62 4
San Diego, CA overcast clouds 62 4
Toronto, ON broken clouds 68 4
Washington, DC overcast clouds 63 4
Baltimore, MD overcast clouds 63 3
Boston, MA overcast clouds 62 3
Bronx, NY overcast clouds 62 3
Philadelphia, PA overcast clouds 62 3
San Francisco, CA broken clouds 51 3
Seattle, WA clear sky 49 1
Data last updated: 1750078566
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