Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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HRF forecast value available for each contest, with detailed data throughout the game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark Location Sky Cover Temperature (°F) Home Run Forecast Index™
Sacramento, CA clear sky 97 10
Arlington, TX clear sky 89 10
Houston, TX broken clouds 86 10
Kansas City, MO clear sky 86 10
Phoenix, AZ clear sky 106 10
Anaheim, CA clear sky 74 8
Chicago (NL), IL overcast clouds 84 8
Cleveland, OH scattered clouds 76 8
Los Angeles, CA clear sky 78 8
Minneapolis, MN overcast clouds 84 8
San Francisco, CA few clouds 64 8
St. Louis, MO clear sky 85 8
Toronto, ON clear sky 76 8
Cincinnati, OH scattered clouds 79 7
Tampa, FL broken clouds 76 7
Baltimore, MD few clouds 70 6
Chicago (AL), IL overcast clouds 84 6
Milwaukee, WI clear sky 81 6
San Diego, CA broken clouds 68 6
Atlanta, GA broken clouds 74 5
Boston, MA few clouds 66 5
Seattle, WA overcast clouds 70 5
Bristol, TN broken clouds 68 4
Detroit, MI clear sky 77 4
Miami, FL broken clouds 82 4
Philadelphia, PA few clouds 67 4
Pittsburgh, PA clear sky 71 4
Queens, NY few clouds 70 4
Washington, DC few clouds 69 4
Denver, CO broken clouds 77 3
Bronx, NY clear sky 70 2
Data last updated: 1754708167
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