Meteorologist Paul Dorian

Very strong upper-level ridging will form in the eastern states early next week leading to a surge of heat in the DC-to-Boston corridor during the Sunday-Wednesday time period. Map courtesy ECMWF, Pivotal Weather Overview Father’s Day turned out to be very cool across the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US with some spots nearly 20 degrees …

Monday, June 16th – *A surge of high heat to produce a run to 100 degrees for the DC-to-Boston corridor early-to-mid next week…expect to see an explosion of “10’s” for the Home Run Forecast Index* Read More »

  A plume of tropical moisture on Monday extends from the southeastern Gulf/Caribbean Sea to the Mid-Atlantic region (low-level tropical moisture shown in blue/white colors). Map courtesy NOAA, College of DuPage Tropical moisture us flowing northward along the eastern seaboard and it is supported by a slow-moving and vigorous upper-level low pressure system. The result …

Monday, 12 May 2025 – *A plume of tropical moisture is flowing northward along the eastern seaboard…Mid-Atlantic cities likely to deal with delays or rainouts in coming days…more cold air outbreaks coming in May with low “Home Run Forecast Index” games* Read More »

The ensemble run of the 00Z Euro features colder-than-normal air across much of the eastern third of the nation (shown in blue) during the first week of May and also across portions of Texas whereas above-normal weather conditions exists from the Northern Plains to the western states. Map courtesy ECMWF, tropicaltidbits.com The intrusion of cool …

Friday, April 25th – *Still signs for chilly air masses as we head to the month of May…a likely continuation of very low Home Run Forecast Index values in some stadiums* Read More »

A stratospheric warming event that began in late February and continued through March continues to do its magic in the month of April with cold air outbreaks across the eastern and central US…and it looks like we are not done quite yet with this overall pattern. This atmospheric phenomenon has lead to numerous cold weather …

Friday, April 11th – *Not quite done with the cold air outbreaks for the Great Lakes, Midwest, Northeast US…more cold weather games and low Home Run Forecast Index values* Read More »

The next 5 days will feature well below-normal temperatures across the Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US as predicted here by the 12Z GEFS for the 5-day period from today through April 12th. Map courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com A stratospheric warming event that began in late February and continued through March is now doing its magic …

*Monday, April 7th, 2025 – Stratospheric warming event from late February to March is now doing its magic in April…numerous cold air outbreaks and cold weather early season games with low Home Run Forecast Index values* Read More »

The stratospheric temperature pattern as of Thursday, March 20th, featured a relatively “warm” blob of air directly over the North Pole (center) and a weakened and “split” polar vortex (shown in blue). Temperatures at the 10-millibar level over the North Pole are now about 40 degrees warmer than those observed in the surrounding stratospheric polar …

Saturday, March 22nd, 2025 – *A big-league stratospheric warming event assures cold air outbreaks well into April…baseball season gets fully underway on Thursday likely with plenty of cold weather early season games and low “Home Run Forecast Index” values* Read More »

“Stratospheric warming” near the North Pole at mid-month suggests cold air outbreaks can continue in the US well into the early stages of the 2025 baseball season The current stratospheric temperature pattern across the Northern Hemisphere features a rather typical looking (cold) polar vortex centered right near the North Pole with some “stretching” into the …

Friday, March 7th, 2025 – *Stratospheric warming event increases chance for additional cold air outbreaks as 2025 season gets underway…ensures plenty of early season games with low Home Run Forecast Index values* Read More »

Photo from Game 4 of the 1997 World Series in Cleveland, Ohio; courtesy espn.go.com Overview The World Series begins on Friday night, October 25th, in Los Angeles, California between the LA Dodgers and the New York Yankees. The weather will likely be a non-factor for Games 1 and 2 with dry and warm conditions expected …

Monday, October 21st – *World Series games in recent history in which weather played an important role* Read More »

The possibility exists for powerful wind gusts across Georgia during this upcoming storm event as well as significant rainfall amounts as depicted here by a recent Euro model run. Map courtesy ECMWF, Weather Bell Analytics Tropical Storm Helene continues to churn over the warm waters of the western Caribbean Sea and it is likely to …

Tuesday, September 24th – *”Major” hurricane threatens Florida’s Gulf coast with a possible landfall late Thursday in “Big Bend” region…storm to impact Georgia as well* Read More »