Meteorologist Paul Dorian

  The 5-day period from 29 January to 02 February looks to be especially cold in much of the eastern US and this includes the central and southern portions of Florida. Map courtesy ECMWF, weathermodels.com (Dr. Ryan Maue, X) Overview In the wake of the major weekend winter storm, a very cold weather pattern is …

*Memorable stretch of cold in terms of both magnitude and duration in the Mid-Atlantic region…near 0 degrees for overnight lows on multiple occasions…potential coastal storm this upcoming weekend* Read More »

Snow should be falling heavily on Sunday morning in much of the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with very cold conditions…some wild weather indeed for several hours. There can be sleet and freezing rain across central and western Virginia by mid-day as a thin layer of slightly above freezing air advances slowly to the north with its farthest …

*Major winter storm arrives tonight in the Mid-Atlantic region with disruptions into Monday…significant snow and significant icing in the I-95 corridor…bitter cold to follow* Read More »

Snow should be falling heavily on Sunday morning/mid-day in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with very cold conditions…some wild weather indeed for several hours. There can be sleet across central and southern Virginia at mid-day and freezing rain in Kentucky as a thin layer of slightly above freezing air advances slowly to the north with its farthest …

*Major winter storm to impact the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from later Saturday night into Monday…significant snow accumulations and some icing…bitter cold to follow* Read More »

Arctic air will invade the eastern US early next week likely resulting in well below-normal temperatures all the way from Florida-to-Maine. Map courtesy ECMWF, Weather Bell Analytics A strong cold front will head in a southeast direction on Sunday across the Great Lakes and it likely arrives in the northeastern states by Sunday evening. This …

Wednesday, November 5th – *An Arctic blast arrives in the eastern US early next week…first hard freeze in many spots and some accumulating snow…an impact from Florida-to-Maine* Read More »

Rainfall amounts are quite staggering from the Monday, 12Z run of the Euro model for the 5-day period ending on Sunday, November 2nd. While these amounts are very likely to not actually verify, this model run certainly raises a red flag that the overall weather pattern later next week is full of potential. Map courtesy …

Monday, October 20th – *A very energetic pattern evolving for later next week…may be a good thing the World Series isn’t being played in the eastern US* Read More »

  Hurricane Gabrielle can be seen at the top portion of this satellite imagery loop…another tropical system is visible over the northeastern Caribbean Sea, and a third is positioned not far off to its east. Images courtesy NOAA/GOES-East The Atlantic Basin is quite active as we head towards the end of September with three tropical …

Wednesday, September 24th, 2025 *Two tropical systems may end up doing some sort of a dance around each other for awhile just off the east coast (“Fujiwhara effect”)* Read More »

Numerous record lows or near record lows on Monday morning across the Upper Midwest, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US. (Map courtesy NOAA, coolwx.com) A widespread chilly air mass for this time of year has reached the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US on Monday, September 8th after getting “hung up” for awhile in the Northern …

Monday, September 8th – *Widespread chill reaches the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US on Monday…look for some very low “Home Run Forecast Index” values in coming days* Read More »

A strong cold frontal passage will bring significant temperature changes to the NE US between today and Monday (Map courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com) A strong cold front will push through the northeastern states on Sunday night and it’s passage will bring about big-time temperature changes in many places. In Boston, for example, high temperatures later today …

Sunday, August 17th – *Quite a turnaround coming to the Northeast US with a strong cold frontal passage…Home Run Forecast Index goes from a “10” to a “1” in one particular city Read More »

The month of August will get off to a colder-than-normal start across much of the nation (shown in blue). Map courtesy ECMWF, Weather Bell Analytics Temperatures reached well up into the 90’s on Wednesday afternoon in much of the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US, but major-league relief is on the horizon…in fact, jackets may be …

Wednesday, July 30th – *Major-league relief coming to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US…transition to include some heavy rainfall on Thursday afternoon and night…look for lower HRF Index values* Read More »

Overview The All-Star break arrives on Monday for big-league baseball which always features a Home Run Derby that’ll take place on Monday evening in Atlanta, Georgia and the All-Star game will be played on Tuesday night. The weather looks quite hot and humid both for the Home Run Derby and the All-Star game and – …

Sunday, July 13th – *Baseball’s “Home Run Derby” takes place on Monday night in Atlanta…weather can have quite an impact on the distance balls can travel…surprising recent finding on winds* Read More »