Meteorologist Paul Dorian

The next 5 days will feature well below-normal temperatures across the Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US as predicted here by the 12Z GEFS for the 5-day period from today through April 12th. Map courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com A stratospheric warming event that began in late February and continued through March is now doing its magic …

*Monday, April 7th, 2025 – Stratospheric warming event from late February to March is now doing its magic in April…numerous cold air outbreaks and cold weather early season games with low Home Run Forecast Index values* Read More »

The stratospheric temperature pattern as of Thursday, March 20th, featured a relatively “warm” blob of air directly over the North Pole (center) and a weakened and “split” polar vortex (shown in blue). Temperatures at the 10-millibar level over the North Pole are now about 40 degrees warmer than those observed in the surrounding stratospheric polar …

Saturday, March 22nd, 2025 – *A big-league stratospheric warming event assures cold air outbreaks well into April…baseball season gets fully underway on Thursday likely with plenty of cold weather early season games and low “Home Run Forecast Index” values* Read More »

“Stratospheric warming” near the North Pole at mid-month suggests cold air outbreaks can continue in the US well into the early stages of the 2025 baseball season The current stratospheric temperature pattern across the Northern Hemisphere features a rather typical looking (cold) polar vortex centered right near the North Pole with some “stretching” into the …

Friday, March 7th, 2025 – *Stratospheric warming event increases chance for additional cold air outbreaks as 2025 season gets underway…ensures plenty of early season games with low Home Run Forecast Index values* Read More »

Photo from Game 4 of the 1997 World Series in Cleveland, Ohio; courtesy espn.go.com Overview The World Series begins on Friday night, October 25th, in Los Angeles, California between the LA Dodgers and the New York Yankees. The weather will likely be a non-factor for Games 1 and 2 with dry and warm conditions expected …

Monday, October 21st – *World Series games in recent history in which weather played an important role* Read More »

The possibility exists for powerful wind gusts across Georgia during this upcoming storm event as well as significant rainfall amounts as depicted here by a recent Euro model run. Map courtesy ECMWF, Weather Bell Analytics Tropical Storm Helene continues to churn over the warm waters of the western Caribbean Sea and it is likely to …

Tuesday, September 24th – *”Major” hurricane threatens Florida’s Gulf coast with a possible landfall late Thursday in “Big Bend” region…storm to impact Georgia as well* Read More »

Much cooler-than-normal air will dominate the scene along the west coast for the bulk of the upcoming week. Map courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com The west coast has undergone some hot weather in recent days (and wildfire activity), but big changes are on the way. A noticeably cooler-than-normal air mass is shifting eastward from the Pacific Ocean …

Monday, September 16th – *Cool stretch coming for the west coast…this change in temperature pattern out there to limit the Home Run Forecast Index* Read More »

Well above normal temperatures on Tuesday evening will extend all across the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and NE US. A strong cold front will slowly works its way across the northern US during the next few days reaching the Great Lakes region on Tuesday and then the Mid-Atlantic by Wednesday night. This system is creating strong-to-severe thunderstorms …

Monday, August 26th – *Hot weather for the next few days across much of Great Lakes, Midwest and Mid-Atlantic…results in numerous high “Home Run Forecast Index” values* Read More »

Temperatures will be well below-normal in the Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday time period from the Great Lakes/Midwest to the Mid-Atlantic/NE US A very comfortable air mass for this time of year has pushed into to the northeastern part of the nation being ushered in by the passage of a strong cold front late Monday. There will …

Tuesday, August 20th – *A taste of fall in the Great Lakes, Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast US…cool weather will result in some low “Home Run Forecast Index” values* Read More »

Tremendous rainfall amounts are likely during the remainder of the week up and down the eastern seaboard. Map courtesy Canadian Met Centre Tropical Storm Debby is about to move back out over the open waters of the Southwest Atlantic Ocean…just off the coast of South Carolina. This system will re-intensify some during the next 24 …

Tuesday, August 6th – *Very heavy rainfall next several days to wreak havoc on big league schedule…cooler air mass arrives in the Mid-Atlantic at midweek to put a cap on Home Run Forecast Index in many stadiums* Read More »

Saturday’s high heat and humidity extended up and down both coasts leading to high Home Run Forecast Index values. Saturday, July 6th, featured lots of high heat and humidity along both coasts leading to high Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) vales in many big league parks. The higher the HRFI, the more the favorable are …

Sunday, July 7th – *An amazing day on Saturday with high heat, high Home Run Forecast Index values, high total runs, and high number of home runs…look for lots of high HRF Index values again on Sunday* Read More »